Modeling Study Makes False Conclusions on COVID-19 Vaccination
Theoretical Population Benefit Claim Found Invalid
By Peter A. McCullough, MD, MPH
The COVID-19 vaccines have failed to stop the infection, do not prevent transmission of SARS-CoV-2 among fully vaccinated individuals, and have not been shown to reduce hospitalization or death in prospective, randomized, double blind placebo-controlled trials. The consent form for COVID-19 vaccines indicates the only benefit occurred in the past with previous strains. As an epidemiologist, I was shocked when Watson et al, made the claim that vaccination helped prevent 14-21 million deaths in 2021. How can reviewers and editors allow an author group to make such a claim when no mortality benefit is granted by the US FDA who regulates the language of the consent form?
Watson relied on a the Epidemiological SEIR (Susceptible → Exposed → Infectious → Recovered) model previously referred to as “the science”, by many government leaders, such as the former German chancellor Angela Merkel. In a analysis by Klement and Walach, the SEIR model was found to be invalid because Watson assumed the vaccine would prevent infection and therefore in some individuals, COVID-19 would not occur and thus the progression to death would be avoided. This is not realistic.
We now know in most countries the vast majority have had the infection one or multiple times (eg Klaassen et al, 94% of Americans are now recovered from the illness). Randomized trials by Pfizer, Moderna, Janssen, AstraZeneca, Novavax, and the killed virus vaccines all failed to show that vaccination prevents infection and thus reduces death during the trial observation period. It is not realistic to ignore the impact of natural immunity, early therapeutics, improvements in in-hospital care, and the clear evidence for recurrent infections. Thus “critical realism” destroys the simple SEIR model used by Watson. I agree with Klement and Walach; the SEIR model is invalid and Watson et al have falsely concluded there was a population mortality benefit with mass indiscriminate vaccination. The preponderance of evidence is that the effect is in the opposite direction with more infections, COVID-19 deaths, vaccine injuries, disabilities, and fatal syndromes with the vaccination campaign.
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I do not pay attention to any "study" that reports results based on "modeling". You can make a model show whatever you want it to show (GIGO).
I would sincerely like an audience with the Evil Characters that just added this "Covid BS Vaccine" to the Children's Vaccine Schedule:
From https://outsidein51.substack.com/p/pro-vaccine-safety-in-2023-where
"The there there: Connecting the Childhood Vaccine Schedule and Covid 19
The BIG question that has never been asked of nor answered by Big Pharma: Why has there been no research on the cumulative effect of all the childhood vaccines introduced since the 1986 Vaccine Act? None. Historically (at least up until Covid), there has been research and long-term clinical trials conducted on individual vaccines in controlled studies though some of those have been questionable (HPV Vaccine to name one, but that’s a subject for another day)."