Discover more from Courageous Discourse™ with Dr. Peter McCullough & John Leake
RFK takes Dr. Tariq Butt to School: Chickenpox Vaccine May Backfire Causing More Adult Shingles out to 75 Years after Shot
Rate of Mild Chickenpox Lowered by Vaccination but Kids May Pay the Price as Adults
By Peter A. McCullough, MD, MPH
I was struck by a recent town hall meeting on News Nation where Dr. Tariq Butt in the crowd pronounced the efficacy of the chickenpox vaccine among others. He said to Democratic Presidential Candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr, that “your stance on vaccines is dangerous to the health and wellbeing of millions.” RFK replied that vaccines should be “safety tested.” Robert F. Kennedy Jr went on to educate the moderator and Dr. Butt on childhood vaccines. While the chickenpox vaccine did reduce the childhood rash, RFK pointed out that when the kids grow up to adults, they will face an increase risk of painful and long-lasting shingles.
The doctors stance and body language said it all as he became less assertive and self confident while hearing the side effects in addition to comments on efficacy. I took the time to check RFK on this observation and was interested to find this paper by Rafferty et al.
There are no 50 year studies after chickenpox vaccination, so the authors relied on point estimates for shingles incidence rates through time after childhood chickenpox vaccination. They concluded that indeed the vaccine would reduce chickenpox but only to have children pay the price with increased rates of shingles during life out to 75 years after the vaccine. Beyond that age the rate of shingles went down presumably due to the supplemental use of the shingles vaccine or other competing risks.
What we are learning is that there is no free lunch with vaccines. They all have risks and benefits and cannot be touted as a “good for all” public health measures.
Please subscribe to the Courageous Discourse Substack to show your support for our important work during these times.
Rafferty E, McDonald W, Qian W, Osgood ND, Doroshenko A. Evaluation of the effect of chickenpox vaccination on shingles epidemiology using agent-based modeling. PeerJ. 2018 Jun 20;6:e5012. doi: 10.7717/peerj.5012. PMID: 29942688; PMCID: PMC6015493.
Courageous Discourse™ with Dr. Peter McCullough & John Leake is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.